Golden Dome

The Starbench Golden Dome Model is the most comprehensive source of information for the Golden Dome Project. It includes an organized data repository and forecast model for the US homeland missile-defense buildout by architecture layer, acquisition customer, and contractor. It runs on the federal award record, including FPDS, USASpending, and SHIELD IDIQ obligations, with production ramps refit against Green Book R-1/P-1 lines.

What's inside

• Contracts: contract timeline, obligation vs budget-book plan, subawards, anomaly flags
• Programs: the 11-program registry as cards (NGI, SBI, HBTSS, T2TL), IOC dates + slip posteriors, architecture inventory/ground-truth constellation
• Primes: prime + new-space registry cards with EDGAR financial panel, private rounds
• Schedule risk: Bayesian slip posteriors for each architecture layer, updated as milestones resolve
• Catalysts: a forward calendar of decision points, flight tests, and budget marks, with analyst-curated trade setups
• Simulator: our custom Golden Dome wargame simulator
• Threat: threat inventory (PRC/RU/DPRK/IR launch cells), reach physics, cost-exchange curve, coverage MC

What subscribers receive

• Full access to the model outputs, with interactive tables and CSV downloads
• Quarterly hand-written report on updates to the Golden Dome, including events and stock performance of major primes
• A complimentary subscription to the Starbench Newsletter, and access to the Starbench Resources